Age-specific incidence and five-year relative survival of endometrial cancer histotypes by race and ethnicity among US women, 2000 to 2019

Endometrial cancer incidence and mortality rates have increased significantly among women in the U.S [1,2]. These increases have been primarily attributed to rates of non-endometrioid carcinomas (including serous, carcinosarcoma, and clear cell), which are particularly high among Non-Hispanic Black women. Rates of endometrioid carcinomas have also increased among certain groups, likely associated with rising rates of obesity [1]. As a group, non-endometroid carcinomas account for approximately 20 % of all endometrial cancer cases but 45 % of all endometrial cancer deaths [2]. In contrast, endometrioid carcinomas account for approximately 80 % of cases and generally have a favorable prognosis. Lifetime estrogen exposure and metabolic dysregulation are well-established risk factors for endometrial endometrioid carcinoma; however, specific risk factors associated with non-endometrioid histotypes are not well understood [[3], [4], [5]].

Over the past decade, endometrial cancer classification and risk stratification have undergone a major shift from a binary system broadly based on etiology to a molecularly informed classification based on histotype and molecular subtype [6]. The Cancer Genome Atlas (TCGA) and subsequent clinical validation studies identified four distinct molecular subgroups with prognostic and predictive significance, including: [1] ultramutated tumors with somatic mutations in the exonuclease domain of DNA polymerase epsilon (POLE-mut) [2], hypermutated tumors with mismatch repair deficiency (MMRd) [3], copy number high tumors with alterations and mutations in TP53 (p53abn), and [4] copy number low tumors without above alterations designated as no specific molecular profile (NSMP) [[7], [8], [9]]. The distribution of these molecular subtypes is strongly related to histotype, with nearly all serous carcinomas and carcinosarcomas classified as p53abn and nearly all POLE-mut and MMRd tumors having endometrioid histology [10]. Although cancer registries currently lack detailed molecular information, population-based analyses of endometrial cancer histotypes can advance our understanding about the epidemiology of this disease beyond the traditional binary classification system. To this end, we conducted a population-based analysis of hysterectomy-corrected, age-specific endometrial cancer incidence rates and five-year relative survival by histotype and race and ethnicity in the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database among cases diagnosed from 2000 to 2019.

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